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- NATION, Page 32Bush the Riverboat GamblerHis China overture risks a congressional backlash unlessBeijing responds
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- This time, by golly, no one would call George Bush timid. Quite
- the contrary, the President made a rare appearance as Bush the
- riverboat gambler. By sending a high-level delegation to Beijing
- to confer with Chinese authorities who only six months earlier had
- ordered the massacre of pro-democracy demonstrators near Tiananmen
- Square, Bush knew he would stir up a hurricane of outraged protest.
- And for what? The slender chance that China would respond with
- concessions that could begin to melt the ice in U.S. relations with
- the world's most populous nation.
-
- A week after the return of the envoys, National Security
- Adviser Brent Scowcroft and Deputy Secretary of State Lawrence
- Eagleburger, the White House is still waiting for that payoff. The
- Chinese leaders did promise not to sell missiles to Middle Eastern
- countries. That, however, was merely a repetition of a pledge first
- made more than a year ago. China also agreed to let a Voice of
- America reporter into the country for the first time since July.
- But if those are the only results of the Scowcroft-Eagleburger
- mission, it will not lower the criticism a decibel.
-
- The criticism may well be the angriest the Bush White House
- has heard. Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell, using an image
- taken up by many other critics, accused Bush of "embarrassing
- kowtowing." Others assailed the surreptitious nature of the mission
- -- it was announced in Washington at 2 a.m. Saturday, Dec. 9, after
- Scowcroft and Eagleburger had already landed in Beijing -- and the
- obsequious nature of Scowcroft's toast at a banquet. Scowcroft
- addressed the Chinese rulers as "friends," referred oh-so-
- delicately to "the events at Tiananmen" and described U.S. critics
- of the massacre as "irritants" to Chinese-American relations.
-
- Administration sources say Scowcroft was blunter with the
- Chinese in private, telling them that since the U.S. had made the
- initial move to repair relations, Beijing had better reciprocate,
- and soon. He gave that demand a sharp twist, blaming the U.S.
- Congress for the frostiness in Sino-American relations. Says a U.S.
- official: "Scowcroft made very clear to the Chinese that our
- Congress is the main problem in the U.S.-China relationship, and
- that if the relationship is as important to them as it is to
- President Bush, they need to give a positive response, or a series
- of them, by the time Congress returns in late January."
-
- Some helpful responses, Administration sources indicate, would
- include free passage out of China for Fang Lizhi, the dissident
- astrophysicist who took refuge in the U.S. embassy in Beijing last
- June and is still there; the lifting of martial law in Beijing and
- Tibet; Chinese pressure on the murderous Khmer Rouge to allow a
- political settlement in Cambodia, and amnesty for pro-democracy
- demonstrators.
-
- If China still appears unresponsive when Congress reconvenes
- on Jan. 23, the lawmakers might do two things: override Bush's veto
- of legislation extending the visas of Chinese students who fear
- persecution if they return home, and enact economic sanctions
- stricter than those the Administration reluctantly imposed in June.
- The disclosure last week that the Administration is preparing to
- loosen the sanctions by allowing export of three communications
- satellites to be launched by Chinese rockets did nothing to improve
- the congressional mood.
-
- Why did the normally cautious Bush take such a risk? The
- President and his aides feared that China was slipping into a mood
- of angry isolation that would be no help for world stability. Bush,
- who lived in Beijing as U.S. envoy for 13 months in 1974 and '75,
- fancies himself an old China hand. He seems to rate preserving the
- carefully nurtured U.S. strategic relationship with China well
- above human-rights considerations, which he has always valued below
- the need for order and stability in world affairs. When former
- President Richard Nixon and former Secretary of State Henry
- Kissinger returned from exploratory trips to China with the news
- that Beijing wanted closer relations but thought the U.S. should
- make the first move, Bush judged the time to be right.
-
- Bush still resents being portrayed during the presidential
- campaign as manipulated by handlers, and he is out to prove that
- he can move boldly and effectively in foreign affairs. In China he
- found an area where he thought he could rely on his expertise to
- act. Explains White House spokesman Marlin Fitzwater: "The
- President knew he would be criticized for this, but he feels
- strongly that it's in our national interest to improve relations
- with China. He feels he knows China as well as anybody -- and
- better than his critics in Congress." The next few weeks will tell
- whether that faith is well founded.